I’ve had more time think about this than you and have decided Brexit is going to be fine, in fact it’s going to be irrelevant. I actuality, I’m writing this 8 hours ahead of you, from Perth, Western Australia. As the voting results came in, I sat through your night horrified that my country was about to ruin itself by leaving the EU, but I was wrong, it’s not, it will be fine.
As the result became clear, I could hardly contain myself and wrote angry things on screens and uploaded them. But, let us consider what bothers me, and it’s not the lying, both sides lied and we need to forget that and consider what matters to the country’s future now we Brexit.
There are two things which concern me: economy and immigration. I want the economy to carry on without a great Thatcherite obliteration of fine British people like I experienced 20 years ago trying to bring up a family and pay a mortgage at 14.5% interest rate. Remain voters and Brexit voters both want this. Secondly I want us to have many more immigrants than we have now and to treat them with the utmost dignity, they are after all helping our country with its economic and employment requirements. Both of these things are almost certainly going to happen, and it’s what Remain voters voted for. The fact that many votets thought they would magically dissolve immigrants and we would go back to jolly white old Britain was naive and stupid of them. I think you will find Boris said “control our borders”. He didn’t say shut them to immigrants, what’s your problem, it’s what Remain wanted too.
We need to be sensitive on the immigration issue as people get confused with what it means. Is it people seeking asylum from persecution, or economic migrants looking for employment or about allowing our own British people to be rude and racist to others of foreign habits? My wife trains French, German and Spanish students to be teachers of modern languages in British schools. I am a professional engineer and know that few British youngsters read engineering at university, and for our engineering industry to continue we need to regularly hire students from Europe and outside Europe. If we stop immigrating young people to do these jobs the jobs will not get done, children will not learn and our industries will falter, our friends from other countries will not have jobs.
All Remain and many Brexit voters want this, the only issue is that some Brexit voters think they are going to get fewer immigrants. They don’t understand that Britain is an old age pensioner lop sided population. It has too few indigenous young people coming through to fuel the economy which pays for the NHS bills of the very same pensioners who voted for Brexit. We need to sell the idea of allowing immigrants to the voters who think they are going to get fewer, it’s what Remain voters want. The way to sell it to them is to say “yes we are having immigrants, but these ones will be controlled under a new British regulatory system”. You may even suggest that we retain the right to throw out immigrants under these to-be-defined regulations, but need to consider if that deal will attract the sort of immigrants the country wants. In other words immigration will be the same as before the referendum, but immigrants will fill in a new UK form. Remain voters will get what they wanted.
The second concern is the economy: will there be an economic meltdown with thousands of job losses as a result of business withdrawn. It seems, and it’s early days, that the stock market thinks not. Yes it wobbled but it recovered. This means the detail profit models which are run and scrutinised for each business on the stock mark have concluded that withdrawal from the largest business market in the world is not going to materially change British business prospects. Or in other words being in or out of the EU makes no difference to business. This is surprising, but not completely surprising, business did not suddenly boom when we joined the EU and it’s not going to falter when we leave: we will still sell stuff in or out. If anything you were mistaken into thinking EU membership was any more than emporers clothes.
So the two main issues carry on as before. What else is there? My friends in Europe being let down and hurt, I’m embarrassed? Simple: good friends don’t ask for money and your pride will heal.
Like I say, business as usual, nothing significant has happened other you realising it isn’t materially going to change anything.